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Gryphon characterises its investment style as "Growth at a Reasonable
Price". Our portfolios
are built using a stock selection approach which is driven by fundamental
analysis. Our goal is to identify growth potential by focusing on specific
financial and industry variables that vary in significance depending on
the stage in the economic cycle. This
portfolio serves to underscore economic and financial market themes that are expected to outperform in the
next 12-18 months.
The three most important decision factors on which we structure our portfolios are:
• Identify attractive broad economic sectors that will outperform
• Identify stocks with timely characteristics within those sectors
• Stock market outlook and interest rate forecasts
Our investment process creates a portfolio by developing estimates and price levels for the key North American markets, forecasts of both long and short-term interest rates,
gross domestic product, inflation and other macroeconomic factors. Based on themes that are likely
to dominate the Canadian Market over the next 12 months, these themes are then used as a
basis for the specific over/under-weightings of TSX sectors. Individual security selection, while
also influenced by the investment themes, is driven by bottom-up fundamental analysis of earnings,
cashflow, balance sheets and industry dynamics.
An important feature of
our in-house research is discussions with companies, suppliers and
end-buyers of a corporation's products and services. This provides us a
far better understanding for critical industry dynamics such as capital investment,
financing, capacity, labour, pricing and supply/demand. This combination of subjective and objective
information forms the basis for our decisions to over/underweight a
specific sector. Gryphon's individual stock selections serve to confirm and verify the portfolio themes.
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